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Yield Protection ("Tufts Syndrome")

How supply-side university agents protect their yield by penalizing overqualified applicants

The Yield Trap

If ΔAI > 25 AND No Hook: Score × (1 - Strength)
0.25
0% Admit
50% Admit
100% Admit
YP Penalty Zone
--
Avg Yield Rate (Selected Tier)
--
% Overqualified Rejected
--
ΔAI Threshold

Interactive Explorer

220
Without Yield Protection
0.82
With Yield Protection
0.53
Calculating...

School Yield Protection Profiles

Historical Yield Rates by Tier

82%
Tier 1 (Harvard, Stanford)
43%
Tier 2 (Duke, NW)
34%
Tier 3 (Tufts, Midd)
28%
Tier 4 (Lehigh, CWRU)

Why Schools Do This: The Yield Death Spiral